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Satchu's Rich Wrap-Up
 
 
Wednesday 12th of October 2022
 


Non Linear War and the Ozymandias moment
Misc.

Manichaeism is the predominant lens through which the World is represented and this remains the overarching media architecture. Manichaeism teaches an elaborate dualistic cosmology describing the struggle between a good, spiritual world of light, and an evil, material world of darkness Mani was an Iranian, born in 216 in or near Seleucia-Ctesiphon in the Parthian Empire. According to the Cologne Mani-Codex, Mani's parents were members of the Jewish Christian Gnostic sect known as the Elcesaites. 


The sine qua non of representing The World this way is that ''We'' are the light and the ''Other'' is the Darkness. The Hashtags #PutinMustGo and  #PutinMustFallare preeminent exemplars of this theme. Previous iterations and a repetitive loop reach back to Gaddafi, Saddam Hussein and even further back to the appeasement of Hitler by Arthur Neville Chamberlain which is presented as the original sin. This structure lends itself to a binary View of the world  ‘us and them, good and evil’. In this binary view of the World, History [if its not interpreted by our Diktat] is bunk.  


The aim of Manicheanism (since Carl Schmitt first made the point) is to foreclose on any mediation with rivals by portraying them as sufficiently ‘evil’ that discourse with them become pointless and morally defective. [Alastair CROOKE]


The End Point is Hillary Clinton on Qaddafi: "We came, we saw, he died"

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Non Linear War and the Ozymandias moment
Law & Politics

Wilhelm Sasnal Gaddafi 2011 @WilhelmSasnal @Tatę 


It does not matter that Saddam Hussein did not have WMDs  the very basis of the casus belli


It does not matter that we bombed Iraq and Serbia's infrastructure on the first day and Russia took six months.


2003: Operation "Shock and Awe" over Iraq's capital city, 31 countries from the "free world" took part. @Partisangirl


These things do not matter because We are the Light. 


Binary Thinking works in a Unipolar World where the Adversary is a Paper Tiger because Might is Right and You have a lot more Might. When the Adversary is a Nuclear Power with WMDs, the situation is not binary, its multi sided and non linear. 


Surkov published a short story, ‘Without Sky’ set in the future, after the ‘fifth world war’ and in it he explains complexity   


Because everyone could understand it wasn’t our fault we lost the sky ... The Marshalls of the four coalitions chose our sky for their great battle. The sky above our village was the best in the world. Flat. Cloudless. The sun poured over it in a smooth river. I remember the sun well. And the sky.


It was the first non-linear war. In the primitive wars of the 19th and 20th centuries it was common for just two sides to fight. Two countries. Two groups of allies. Now four coalitions collided. Not two against two, or three against one. No. All against all.


And what coalitions! Not like the ones you had before ... It was rare for whole countries to enter. A few provinces would join one side, a few others a different one. One town or generation or gender would join yet another. Then they could switch sides, sometimes mid-battle.


Their aims were quite different. To take over a disputed coastal shelf. To forcefully introduce a new religion. Raise ratings. Try out new lasers. To stop humans being divided into men and women as gender differences undermine the unity of a nation.


I would argue that Manichaeism has created a Mass psychogenic illness (MPI), also called mass sociogenic illness, mass psychogenic disorder, epidemic hysteria, or mass hysteria, involves the spread of illness symptoms through a population where there is no infectious agent responsible for contagion

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A depiction of dancing mania, on the pilgrimage of epileptics to the church at Molenbeek. Pieter Breughel the Younger -
Law & Politics

Anyone who rows against this binary MPI Tide is deplatformed, erased and summarily dismissed. When the bandwidth of acceptable opinion is reduced the outcomes are binary and our Leaders launch a deluge of Hashtags #PutinMustGo and  #PutinMustFall and the claque sing Hallelujah.


Adm. Mike Mullen tells @MarthaRaddatz he is “a little concerned about the language” Pres. Biden is using to describe nuclear threats from Putin. @ThisWeekABC


"I think we need to back off that a little bit and do everything we possibly can to try to get to the table.” I suspect that will be the last media Inteview  Adm. Mike Mullen is invited to. 


 

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The direction of Travel for Europe specifically is therefore an Ozymandias denouement
Misc.

I met a traveller from an antique land,


Who said—“Two vast and trunkless legs of stone


Stand in the desert. . . . Near them, on the sand,


Half sunk a shattered visage lies, whose frown,


And wrinkled lip, and sneer of cold command,


Tell that its sculptor well those passions read


Which yet survive, stamped on these lifeless things,


The hand that mocked them, and the heart that fed;


And on the pedestal, these words appear:


My name is Ozymandias, King of Kings;


Look on my Works, ye Mighty, and despair!


Nothing beside remains. Round the decay


Of that colossal Wreck, boundless and bare


The lone and level sands stretch far away.”

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The Nordstream ‘escape route’ out from economic catastrophe has gone.
World Of Finance

There is nothing else, but to mumble unconvincingly: ‘Putin did it’. And to contemplate the ruin of Europa and what that may mean.  [Alastair CROOKE]


in Germany, $2 trillion of value added depends on $20 billion of gas from Russia... War and Industrial Policy @CreditSuisse Zoltan Pozsar


And let me tell you what it means. It means a record low for the Euro against the Dollar below 0.8000 H/T @keyeventrisk



It means Hyperinflation. It means that the ECB will lose control of the Bond market just like Kwasi Karteng & his binary acolytes have lost control of the UK Gilts market.


It's only Oct 10, but at this rate the 30-year UK bond yield is on track for its biggest monthly rise on record. Yield is up around 90 bps in Oct @ReutersJamie

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The US & Russia are fundamentally autarkic economies whereas Europe is not.
World Currencies

Therefore, I expect the Dollar to be pushed higher because the Dollar is a coercive Instrument of geoeconomic power and in fact the overarching instrument.


I believe we are headed to 125 on the $DXY 


$DXY - #DXY chart on @TradingView @dhilipan10

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President Biden is running out of road now with the Oil Price so that is also biased higher.
Commodities

The impact of nearly selling our entire SPR vs the price of oil. @Mayhem4Markets

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The Ukraine War cannot be won because Putin is not Saddam and he is not Gaddafi.
Law & Politics

The Ukraine War cannot be won because Putin is not Saddam and he is not Gaddafi. 





 




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by Aly Khan Satchu (www.rich.co.ke)
 
 
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October 2022
 
 
 
 
 
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