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Satchu's Rich Wrap-Up
 
 
Tuesday 19th of January 2021
 
Afternoon
Africa




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Some Folks seem convinced that the Prophet of Populism Donald J. Trump is going to lead his 70m Disciples into some major 5th generational chess moves
Law & Politics


Some Folks seem convinced that the Prophet of Populism Donald J. Trump is going to lead his 70m Disciples into some major 5th generational chess moves but surely just as likely is an Unfolding psychological breakdown played out in front of our eyes on TV like Willy Loman in Arthur Miller's Death of Salesman

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What did I learn from the Trump presidency? @nntaleb
Law & Politics




No matter your message, your policies, your public, as an executive you must have *some* amount of decorum & abide by the following Roman virtues:



+ Dignitas

+ Gravitas

+ Auctoritas

+ Iustitia

in addition to the main one: Prudentia.



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In a public debate, it is the one whose intelligence is closest to that of the audience who wins*. @nntaleb
Law & Politics


*In other words: usually (in politics or academic psychology), the most stupid; in rare cases (say, in mathematics, physics, cooking/bartending schools), the most intelligent.

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@WHO in Wuhan: the Covid‑hunters will trudge wherever they are allowed @thetimes
Misc.



The hotel driveway is sealed off; guards watch the entrance. A mission by the World Health Organisation to investigate the origins of the coronavirus pandemic got off to an inauspicious start in the Chinese city of Wuhan last week. 

Its international team of scientists, confined to their rooms by quarantine, might as well be in prison.

Meanwhile, on Friday, America again called for the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) to be investigated as the possible source of the outbreak, claiming dramatically that it had “reason to believe that several researchers inside the WIV became sick in autumn 2019, before the first identified case of the outbreak, with symptoms consistent with both Covid-19 and common seasonal illnesses”.

For the many critics of the WHO, this mission is yet another kowtow by an organisation that has become Beijing’s puppet. 

But is the criticism justified? Or does the WHO’s “China problem” arise from some deeper malaise at its core?

Born in the aftermath of the Second World War, the WHO, part of the UN, was tasked with fostering global collaboration in the fight against disease. 

This was not a new idea: various 19th-century “international sanitary conferences” had laid down standards — often ignored — for how countries should respond to outbreaks of cholera and yellow fever.


The constitution of the WHO, adopted in 1948, proclaimed a lofty ambition: “Attainment by all people of the highest possible levels of health.” 

This explains why the organisation, with an annual budget of about £4bn and a headquarters in Geneva, bans smoking among its 7,000 employees in some 150 countries.

In 1979 the WHO proclaimed one of its greatest achievements: the eradication of smallpox, a disease that had killed millions each year in the 1950s.

Its pandemic response record is mixed, however, and took a hit in the 2014 ebola outbreak in west Africa, when the regional Africa office was reported to have delayed declaring an epidemic for fear of annoying the governments of three countries that had been infected.

Getting countries to comply with WHO guidelines and report infections when they know what harm they may cause in economic terms is challenging — all the more so against a backdrop of crumbling international co-operation as the postwar order collapses.

What is more, says Ngaire Woods, dean of the Blavatnik School of Government at Oxford University, “the WHO has no coercive powers to enforce anything”. 

She believes the organisation has been caught in the middle of a US-China struggle for global dominance — and used as a scapegoat by Donald Trump “to deflect responsibility for his own administration’s failure to take action” over the Covid-19 pandemic

The WHO’s alleged favouritism towards Beijing is what prompted Trump to announce last year he would halt US contributions, which account for about 20% of the WHO’s budget.



Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the WHO’s Ethiopian director-general widely known as “Dr Tedros” — the honorific reflecting an academic rather than a medical qualification — has been singled out for criticism for claiming China had “set a new standard” in pandemic management.

“Tedros kowtowed to the Chinese leadership,” said Richard Ebright, a molecular biologist at Rutgers University in New Jersey, accusing him of “abdicating control of the WHO to the Chinese”.


For Ebright, the WHO needs to examine procedures for electing its leaders: “[It] is an outstanding organisation that performs essential work. However, it currently has an empty suit as its director-general, and over the past decade has had a series of empty suits in the job.”


Procedures for electing the director “emphasise regional origin over competence, which incentivises candidates to make quid pro quo deals with national governments to win election”. This, he said, was “a formula for failure”.

So highly charged a topic has the WHO’s pandemic response become that there has been scrutiny, too, of the director-general’s past role as a health minister in an authoritarian Ethiopian regime renowned for close ties to China. 

One of his first moves on being put in charge of the WHO in 2017 was to appoint Robert Mugabe, Zimbabwe’s late dictator, as a “goodwill ambassador”, apparently in reward for supporting his candidacy for the job. 

It caused an uproar and he quickly rescinded the appointment.

Another goodwill ambassador is Peng Liyuan, the opera singer married to Xi Jinping, China’s president. She was appointed by Margaret Chan, a Chinese director of the WHO from 2006 to 2017.

Larry Gostin, director of the WHO’s collaborating centre on national and global health law, pointed out that the agency had always curried favour with big powers such as China. 

“It’s historically beholden to its member states, particularly the most powerful,” he said, because it relies on their co-operation for implementing its programmes.

But he believes the WHO should have been more circumspect at the beginning of the Covid-19 outbreak about China’s claims that there was no evidence humans were spreading the virus. 

Instead it amplified them. “It should have said, ‘This is what China is reporting, but we have no means of independently verifying it’. But Tedros took the view it was better to gain China’s co-operation.”

After months of haggling over the scope of the investigation, the WHO team that arrived in Wuhan on Thursday are reduced to room-service meals and virtual meetings with local scientists while quarantined for two weeks in their boutique hotel. 

The constraints have strengthened the belief that China is determined to stifle the investigation.

“China is stonewalling the WHO, it’s as transparent as mud,” said Gostin. “The team will not have full access to samples, data, whistle-blowers or health care professionals. That makes it extraordinarily difficult to conduct an investigation the world can have confidence in.”

Ebright criticised the WHO for accepting China’s conditions: “At all times, China has resisted a credible and open investigation of the origin of the outbreak and of China’s initial response to the outbreak and, at all times, the WHO has acceded to this resistance. The mission to China has been pre-engineered to fail. It includes at least one member with a disqualifying conflict of interest.”

The team includes Peter Daszak, a British zoologist with long experience of investigating bat-borne viruses in southern China who worked closely with the WIV on coronavirus research.

The terms agreed with the WHO team offer no prospect of a WIV investigation. Daszak has dismissed the accidental laboratory leak theory as “baloney” and praised the work of his Chinese counterparts, notably the WIV’s “Bat woman”, Shi Zhengli, with whom he has collaborated in the past. 

Beijing agrees with him: as the scientists were settling into their hotel prison, it awarded Shi a medal, naming her an “advanced worker of the Chinese Academy of Sciences”.


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.@WHO inspector @PeterDaszak caught on camera revealing coronavirus manipulation in Wuhan before pandemic @TaiwanNews886
Misc.




TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — Video taken just days before the start of the coronavirus pandemic shows a current World Health Organization (WHO) inspector discuss the testing of modified coronaviruses on human cells and humanized mice in the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV), just weeks before the first cases of COVID-19 were announced in the city of Wuhan itself.

In a video that was originally taken on Dec. 9, 2019, three weeks before the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission announced an outbreak of a new form of pneumonia, virologist Vincent Racaniello interviewed British zoologist and president of EcoHealth Alliance Peter Daszak about his work at the nonprofit to protect the world from the emergence of new diseases and predict pandemics. 

Since 2014, Daszak's organization has received millions of dollars of funding from the U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH), which it has funneled to the WIV to carry out research on bat coronaviruses.

In the first phase of research, which took place from 2014 to 2019, Daszak coordinated with Shi Zhengli, (石正麗), also known as "Bat Woman," at the WIV on investigating and cataloging bat coronaviruses across China. 

EcoHealth Alliance received US$3.7 million in funding from the NIH for this research and 10 percent was channeled to the WIV, reported NPR.

The second, more dangerous phase, which started in 2019, involved gain-of-function (GoF) research on coronaviruses and chimeras in humanized mice from the lab of Ralph S. Baric of the University of North Carolina. 

Funding for the program was withdrawn by the NIH under the Trump administration on April 27 amid the pandemic.

At the 28:10 mark of the podcast interview, Daszak states that researchers found that SARS likely originated from bats and then set out to find more SARS-related coronaviruses, eventually finding over 100

He observed that some coronaviruses can "get into human cells in the lab," and others can cause SARS disease in "humanized mouse models."

He ominously warned that such coronaviruses are "untreatable with therapeutic monoclonals [antibodies] and you can’t vaccinate against them with a vaccine." 

Ironically, he claims that his team's goal was trying to find the next "spillover event" that could cause the next pandemic, mere weeks before cases of COVID-19 were beginning to be reported in Wuhan.

When Racaniello asks what can be done to deal with coronavirus given that there is no vaccine or therapeutic for them, Daszak at the 29:54 mark appears to reveal that the goal of the GoF experiments was to develop a pan-coronavirus vaccine for many different types of coronaviruses.

Based on his response, it is evident that just before the start of the pandemic, the WIV was modifying coronaviruses in the lab. "You can manipulate them in the lab pretty easily." 

What he then mentioned has become the telltale trait of SARS-CoV-2, its spike protein: "Spike protein drives a lot of what happens with the coronavirus, zoonotic risk."

Daszak mentions the WIV's collaboration with Baric: "and we work with Ralph Baric at UNC [University of North Carolina] to do this." 

As has been suggested by proponents that SARS-CoV-2 is a chimera made in a lab, he speaks of inserting the spike protein "into a backbone of another virus" and then doing "some work in the lab."

Providing evidence of the creation of chimeras for the sake of a vaccine, he states "Now, the logical progression for vaccines is, if you are going to develop a vaccine for SARS, people are going to use pandemic SARS, but let’s try to insert these other related diseases and get a better vaccine.”

Based on Daszak's statements, it appears that just before the start of the pandemic, the WIV was using GoF experiments with chimeras in an attempt to create a vaccine. 

These experiments appeared to have included infecting mice genetically modified to express the human ACE2 protein with these chimeras.

In a presentation titled "Assessing Coronavirus Threats," which was delivered four years before the pandemic in 2015, Daszak points out that experiments involving humanized mice have the highest degree of risk. 

Demonstrating his close ties with the WIV, he also listed the lab as a collaborator at the end of the presentation.

Controversially, Daszak has been included among a team of experts from the WHO that has finally been allowed by Beijing to investigate the origin of the outbreak of COVID-19, over a year after it started. 

Scientists such as Richard Ebright, a molecular biologist at Rutgers University in New Jersey, are condemning Daszak's participation due to conflicts of interest "that unequivocally disqualify him from being part of an investigation of the origins of the Covid-19 pandemic," reported the Daily Mail.

In light of the WHO's trip to Wuhan, a researcher who goes by the pseudonym Billy Bostickson and his colleagues at DRASTIC (Decentralized Radical Autonomous Search Team Investigating COVID-19) have created a petition demanding that the international investigation team answer 50 key questions about the outbreak in Wuhan. 

Among the questions is a request to access to the facility's database and laboratory records, which are supposed to go back 20 years and include a look at its safety procedures, safety audit reports, and safety incident reports.


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However, after sequencing the full genome for RaTG13 the lab’s sample of the virus disintegrated, he said. “I think they tried to culture it but they were unable to, so that sample, I think, has gone.”
Law & Politics



According to Daszak, the mine sample had been stored in Wuhan for six years. Its scientists “went back to that sample in 2020, in early January or maybe even at the end of last year, I don’t know. They tried to get full genome sequencing, which is important to find out the whole diversity of the viral genome.”

However, after sequencing the full genome for RaTG13 the lab’s sample of the virus disintegrated, he said. “I think they tried to culture it but they were unable to, so that sample, I think, has gone.”

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‘’Zoonotic’’ origin was one that was accelerated in the Laboratory.
Misc.


There is also a non negligible possibility that #COVID19 was deliberately released

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“If they can get you asking the wrong questions, they don't have to worry about answers.” ― Origin of the #CoronaVirus #COVID19
Misc.



“There's always more to it. This is what history consists of. It is the sum total of the things they aren't telling us.”

“A paranoid is someone who knows a little of what's going on. ”

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04-JAN-2021 :: Today only the Paid for Propagandists and Virologists and WHO will argue that there is a ''zoonotic'' origin for COVID19. There is no natural Pathway for the Evolution of COVID19.
Misc.


It is remarkable that the Propaganda is still being propagated more than a year later. There is no natural Pathway for the Evolution of COVID19.

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Currency Markets At A Glance WSJ
World Currencies



Euro 1.2092

Dollar Index 90.70

Japan Yen 103.993

Swiss Franc 0.8910

Pound 1.3607

Aussie 0.77066

India Rupee 73.182

South Korea Won 1103.785

Brazil Real 5.296

Egypt Pound 15.6793

South Africa Rand 15.1294

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This matters for emerging markets (EM) more than developed markets, because lower incomes in EM means a higher proportion of spending goes on food. @RencapMan
Emerging Markets


There's enough famous Marie Antoinette "let them eat cake" examples to justify concern about unrest when food prices go up in EM

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This means that agriculture exporters like Canada, US, Australia, Argentina, Russia (*), Ukraine and Kazakhstan should have an export boost while food importers like Egypt and countries like Turkey face more challenges @RencapMan
Food, Climate & Agriculture





This means that agriculture exporters like Canada, US, Australia, Argentina, Russia (*), Ukraine and Kazakhstan should have an export boost while food importers like Egypt (the world's biggest wheat importer) and countries like Turkey face more challenges

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It looks like the global agricultural surplus has been bought up by China. China appears to have bought up the entire global wheat surplus @RencapMan
China


It looks like the global agricultural surplus has been bought up by China. Together with India (but India has bought much less and has far lower stocks per capita), China appears to have bought up the entire global wheat surplus

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Mozambique bread riots may be warning sign on African food security Africa Monitor CSMONITOR By Aly-Khan Satchu, September 6, 2010
Africa



Last week, riots broke out in Maputo, the capital of Mozambique and the home (I am told) of wonderfully flavorsome tiger prawns. The riots broke out over a 30 percent hike in the price of bread. 

And I could not help feeling how interconnected the world is in this new 21st century and how what happens in the bread basket of Russia can affect a frontier country as far away as Mozambique.

This situation in Maputo confirms how fragile the food markets are. The big irony is how many countries have embarked on a land grab in Africa in order to achieve food security. In fact, the Madagascar coup

d'etat was deeply intertwined with how the president had ceded thousands of hectares, practically in perpetuity, to a South Korean company.

Given the fragility of the food markets, Maputo might well be a shot across the bows of many regimes, who have yet to secure access to sufficient food at sufficiently low prices for their people. 

Failure to execute on this front, surely imperils many. I recall May 1998, as soaring food prices brought protestors and rioters out on the streets of Jakarta. President Suharto was gone within days, like a puff of smoke.

The government in Maputo got a wake up call. Many others need to ask for whom the bell tolls.

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CoViD19-ΛFЯICΛ: Confirmed: 3 262 221 (+ 27045) Actives: 505 106 (-819) @NCoVAfrica
Africa



Confirmed: 3 262 221 (+ 27045)

Actives: 505 106 (-819)

Deaths: 78 911 (+ 598)

Recoveries: 2 675 794 (+ 27266)

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The story of COVID-19, prayers, steaming and the state of denial in Tanzania via @ngurumo
Africa



On 29th April 2020, emergency decrees were put in place restricting all institutions and individuals from disseminating and sharing any information on Coronavirus in the East African country. 

In Tanzania, since the first patient of the coronavirus disease was diagnosed and announced on 16th March 2020, the government has been in the limelight for its handling of the pandemic. 

It started well with releasing statistics of new cases, deaths, those under strict quarantine and those who were “cured.”

After 45 days, the president intervened and ordered authorities to stop sharing any data and statistics regarding the pandemic. 

It denied the public any statistics of the pandemic, suspended media houses, banned a reporter and criminalised COVID-19-related speeches and public communication on the matter.

While all these were happening, a few weeks after Coronavirus data and statistics were stopped, President John Magufuli, encouraged people to continue visiting places of worship, while comparing the virus to the devil who, he said “cannot survive in the body of Christ.”

President Magufuli also rejected the need to check movements of people, claiming that stringent social isolation measures would severely damage the economy, and he declared the country virus-free, “thanks to three days of prayers” by the citizens.

President Magufuli said it was pointless to impose a lockdown or curfew, for which some observers say the move helped to avert unnecessary panic to the population.

By the time the government stopped the released of statistics, records the showed that there were 509 cases and 21 deaths from the disease.

Since then, there has been no reporting on the coronavirus, whether from mainstream media, foreign correspondents, bloggers or even social media.

Worth noting are two outliers, human rights activists – Maria Sarungi and a popular, anonymous “Twitter King” with a pseudonym “Kigogo2014,” – who have continued to post about the matter on their social media pages.

For the most part, there is no information. Front-page free advertisements on precautions against the disease stopped. 

“Life as usual” resumed even as the rest of the world faced the pandemic. Tanzanians stopped wearing face masks. Sanitation booths were removed.

While there were no lockdown or curfew, almost one month after the stoppage of coronavirus information, the then Dar es Salaam Regional Commissioner, Paul Makonda, arranged a public festival; dubbed “End of Corona Bash” – with a lot of foods and loud music in a packed open space. 

Famous local artists were engaged and it went all night long of drinking, eating and dancing. No precautions were involved- again – because there was no Coronavirus.

On 16th March 2020, the Ministry of Health of Tanzania announced the first case of Covid-19. The victim happened to be a female traveller aged 46 years who had departed from the country on 3rd March 2020 to Belgium and had visited Denmark and Sweden between 5th and 13th March 2020. 

On 15th March 2020, the lady flew back to Tanzania from Belgium and arrived at the Kilimanjaro International Airport (KIA) at 1600 hours using the Rwanda Airways.

SAUTI KUBWA understands that on her departure from Belgium, the lady, Isabela Mwampamba, was offered a ride to the airport in Brussels by a Ugandan driver who works with the Tanzania Embassy in Brussels, Belgium.

Tanzania, just like many countries, had initially allowed in all arriving passengers from abroad and neighbouring countries after medically screening and testing them at their points of arrival.

At the airport, the female traveller was effectively screened for the symptoms and the results showed negative. 

She took a taxi cab all the way to the hotel located about 28 miles away from the airport. 

On 16th March 2020, she felt unwell and surrendered herself to medical tests just to find out that she had been infected with Coronavirus.

She came to put it clear to the authorities that the reason behind staying at the hotel overnight instead of going home directly, was a need for self-quarantine. 

She further uncovered that, back in Belgium, she was accommodated by her female friend whose husband had acquired the infection.

Ever since the government announced the presence of the Coronavirus in Tanzania, it encouraged the general public to take precautions, including those accorded by WHO; washing hands by using running water, sanitizing and keeping social distance. 

But President Magufuli put emphasis on using locally made herbs; steam inhalation and more so in prayers.

President Magufuli announced a national wide three days of robust prayers to kick the pandemic out of the country. 

During those days, people from all walks of religious faith prayed – some fasted for those consecutive days and later, the head of the nation, announced that God had answered their prayers. “Now, the country is Corona-free,” he said.

Little did people know that the approach by President Magufuli was dangerously exposing them to the disease as they abandoned taking precautions. In one way, however, it offered them psychological comfort.

Since then, the country has been widely criticized for this alleged irresponsibility and denialism.

Still rushing for magical COVID-19 cure

Since the outbreak of Coronavirus in March 2020, various medical institutions, traditional healers, politicians, spiritual leaders, among others, claimed to have “discovered” a remedy for the deadly virus.

The so-called COVID-19 remedies range from cocktail herbal to divine-powered “medications”, routinely promoted by some religious leaders.

It’s a trend that is not exclusive to Tanzania, but also across the border in neighbouring Burundi, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and Benin, among others. All sorts of COVID-19 cures have been mooted.

Madagascar went a step “higher” with the president endorsing a locally produced concoction as a magical cure the world had been waiting for. 

But it later proved a failure. More statistics show a rising graph of deaths and new cases.

In Tanzania, as one travel across the streets of the commercial capital Dar es Salaam, posters are welcoming – all promoting one cure after another, and social media is flooded with all sorts of “cures” both from the state agencies and individuals.

With commercial activities and church gatherings in full swing, the claimants are making a stake at Christian gatherings and market places.

But the rush for COVID-19 cure has not been left to soothsayers and prophets alone. The government seems eager to give Madagascar a run for its money, apparently.

The National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR), Tanzania’s leading research institute, claims to have a preventive remedy for COVID-19, the herbal and grounded mixture of ginger, lemons, green pepper that has been named “NIMRCAF.”

According to NIMR Director-General Prof. Yunus Mgaya, after the first coronavirus case was announced in the country, the institute commenced research on the epidemiology of the disease, in which case they also scrutinised symptoms peculiar to Tanzania as opposed to those noted in patients from other countries.

Prof. Mgaya said at the institute has several experts on traditional medicinal plants that have been able to come up with NIMRCAF, a tonic used in reducing the severity of COVID-19. One bottle costs Tanzania Shillings 10,000 (USD5).

Another government institution, the Tanzania Industrial Research and Development Organization (TIRDO), has come out with a remedy named Covidol, discovered by Prof. Hamis Malebo, a lead research scientist at the institute who said the tonic is a concoction of various natural medicinal plants and seeds. 

He declined to name them. He simply said: “the tonic is responding very well to those with COVID-19.”

The Director-General of TIRDO, Prof. Mkumbukwa Mtambo, said the remedy has shown some positive signs to coronavirus infected people and revealed that they have produced 900 bottles of the mixture ready for the needy.

A medical doctor from IntraHealth International – Tanzania Chapter – who preferred anonymity, said people should be very careful in applying anything that is not scientifically and medically proven for human consumption as they pose high health risks. 

He advised people to follow WHO guidelines for prevention and management of the virus.

‘Men of god’

Apart from the government, COVID-19 has also triggered the influx of some “spiritual men and women” claiming to possess divine powers to heal anyone affected by the virus.

One of them is maverick bishop-cum-politician Josephat Gwajima of Glory of Christ Tanzania Church (GCTC) popularly known as Kanisa la Ufufuo na Uzima – based in Dar es Salaam. 

He has claimed that “God” has spoken to him and asked him to rescue Tanzanians from the pandemic.

Gwajima once claimed to have asked Prime Minister, Kassim Majaliwa, to allow him to visit quarantine centres in order to pray and heal the infected patients. 

The office of the Prime Minister in Dodoma told our reporter that it was yet to receive any official request from Gwajima.

Gwajima

Other self-defined prophets; Moses Ibrahim, popularly known as Namba Saba of Word and God’s Services of Arumeru, in Arusha, and Komando Mashimo of Dar es Salaam are claiming to have divine-powered water that instantly kills the coronavirus.

Every time Magufuli appears in prayer houses, he appeals to the believers to thank God for “getting rid of Corona from Tanzania.” 

In a highly religious society, this message sinks to the hearts of many people. But informed and sceptical minds are accusing the president of making irresponsible utterances that are helping to fill the people and “spread the virus silently.”

Local herbalists in the race

Local herbalists, too, have not let the rush leave them behind. They opened herb shops everywhere and some turned social media into the market place for their various concoctions.

One traditional healer, Tunu Shaban, popularly known as Mama Ustadhi, of Mwananyamala Sokoni, Dar es Salaam, has said that the COVID-19 problem is now over because of the use of traditional medicines which entails herbal leaves.

The woman, who has 20 years of experience in providing herbal medicine services, said that she had received many Coronavirus patients and had cured them. 

“All the patients who came to me and used my syrup have recovered. I treated them with herbal remedies, including leaves from aloe, lemon, and ginger,” she said.

She said that the procedure for using her medicine was to boil the leaves of the trees in a large pot, then inhale the steam twice a day. 

“One dose of the treatment costs Sh. 18,000 (USD 8),” she explained, and added: “At the moment, I do not get Coronavirus patients again, as the disease is no more.”

So rampant and widespread is the hunt for the cure that these alleged “discoveries” have left Dar es Salaam running short of citric fruits, hence prompting a price hike.  

The prices of a single lemon or orange fruit, for instance, have jumped from Tanzania Sh. 100 (USD 4cts) to 500 (USD 22cts).

Tanzania was among few African countries which received a consignment of a much-publicised Madagascar anti-coronavirus remedy Covid-Organics.

The World Health Organization (WHO) is still maintaining that there is no cure for COVID-19 and has advised against all self-medication, insisting that no mixture has been verified and approved for human use.

The fear for new cases

There are all significant signs that Tanzania may soon have a huge number of COVID-19 victims as three major hospitals in the country’s economic capital, Dar es Salaam, are flocked with Coronavirus patients.

Hospital beds at Aga Khan Hospital, Hindu Mandal Hospital and Rabininsia Memorial Hospital have patients who have reliably tested positive for COVID-19.

Reliable sources, including doctors and close relatives of admitted patients, have confirmed that the pandemic is silently killing people at an alarming rate.

At Aga Khan Hospital, 11 patients of Asian origin were admitted, six at Hindu Mandal and four at Rabininsia hospitals all diagnosed with symptoms of COVID-19 after two tests to confirm the diagnosis. 

Doctors at the two hospitals said they performed molecular tests that detect the virus’ genetic material and antigen tests that detect specific proteins from the virus. All patients registered positive results.

This week, authorities in Tanzania are again threatening all media and the general public from discussing the possibility of a resurgence of COVID-19. 

Its deemed criminal and unpatriotic to publish any news about the prevalence of COVID-19 in Tanzania.

In its advertisements on radio, print and social media, the Tanzania Communication Regulatory Authority (TCRA) has been warning the people against sharing anything regarding the pandemic, saying it would take stern measures against anyone who contravened the government position.

A medical doctor at Aga Khan Hospital, in the city centre – who prefers not to be mentioned – said that in the past few weeks the number of cases had been growing, but most of them recovered after three to four days. He did not disclose the prescriptions.

Aga Khan hospital has reportedly developed a special formula for the treatment of COVID-19.

He said most of the patient experience respiratory complications, high fever and sometimes headache.

The same scenario was revealed at the other two hospitals whereby sources confirmed to have admitted COVID-19 patients but refused to cooperate fully due to the fact that it is “prohibited by President Magufuli’s government to disclose anything regarding the pandemic.”

In Tanzania now, the pandemic is considered as a security and economic issue, never a health matter. 

But some hospital executives are taking preventive measures. This is one of the latest warnings from Dr Murtaza Shk Ayman of Saifee Hospital in Dar es Salaam.

A prominent member of one of the then three national response committees to COVID-19 under Prime Minister’s office, when contacted, said she would not comment because their team no longer exists.

Coronavirus is intact. The disease is still dogging lives in Tanzania just like everywhere in the world. 

Clinically, it is recommended that everybody should take care of themselves and the family instead of heeding unscientific advice by the government.

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Turning to Africa the Spinning Top
Africa



Democracy from Tanzania to Zimbabwe to Cameroon has been shredded.

We are getting closer and closer to the Virilian Tipping Point

“The revolutionary contingent attains its ideal form not in the place of production, but in the street''

Political leadership in most cases completely gerontocratic will use violence to cling onto Power but any Early Warning System would be warning a Tsunami is coming

10 NOV 14 : African youth demographic {many characterise this as a 'demographic dividend"} - which for Beautiful Blaise turned into a demographic terminator


Martin Aglo, a law student from Benin, told Reuters: “After the Arab Spring, this is the Black Spring”.We need to ask ourselves; how many people can incumbent shoot stone cold dead in such a situation – 100, 1,000, 10,000?

This is another point: there is a threshold beyond which the incumbent can’t go. Where that threshold lies will be discovered in the throes of the event.

The Event is no longer over the Horizon.

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"Museveni lost Central and Busoga (comprehensively) to @HEBobiwine and yet these two regions are among the top 3 most populated regions in Uganda. @UgandanLawyer
Africa


So how does he (Museveni) score 58% of the popular vote? It beats logic, it beats basic mathematical principles." - lawyer (via DM)

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10-JUN-2019 :: The "zeitgeist" of the Revolution in Khartoum was intoxicating
Africa


The ‘’zeitgeist’’ of the Revolution in Khartoum was intoxicating. As I watched events unfold it felt like Sudan was a portal into a whole new normal.

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It’s “not economically viable” for Angola to export crude oil and then import refined products, says Bostandjiev. “It creates a hard currency drain.” @TheAfricaReport
Africa



The project will also generate taxes for public coffers and contribute to economic diversification, he adds.

The country’s foreign currency reserves, which dwindled below $10bn in 2020 from a peak of $34bn in April 2013, have added to the debt pressures faced by the government.

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The Spinning Top The real challenge is the Economic Emergency.
Africa




The real challenge is the Economic Emergency.

The latest Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa projects economic activity in the region to decline by 3.0% in 2020 and recover by 3.1% in 2021. @IMFNews

The IMF is so bright eyed and bushy tailed and I want some of whatever Pills they are popping.


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After that brief scare early last week, the brief spike in #COVID19 positivity rate & new cases in Kenya hasn’t escalated. @DrAhmedKalebi
Africa



Both indicators returned downwards thus the country continues to maintain the best run since May 2020 with the curve flattened esp. in rural counties



Conclusions



Given What we are seeing in the South and in the West and in some of the near abroad [Rwanda for example] I would expect this to be the Nadir. 

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by Aly Khan Satchu (www.rich.co.ke)
 
 
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January 2021
 
 
 
 
 
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