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Satchu's Rich Wrap-Up
 
 
Wednesday 23rd of June 2021
 
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Africa


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Jean Rhys wrote in her Novel ‘’Wide sargasso sea’’: Only the magic and the dream are true - all the rest’s a lie''
Misc.



And, “I must remember about 
chandeliers and dancing, about swans and roses and snow.”

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Have Aliens Found Us? A Harvard Astronomer on the Mysterious Interstellar Object ‘Oumuamua' @NewYorker
Misc.


On October 19, 2017, astronomers at the University of Hawaii spotted a strange object travelling through our solar system, which they later described as “a red and extremely elongated asteroid.” 

It was the first interstellar object to be detected within our solar system; the scientists named it ‘Oumuamua, the Hawaiian word for a scout or messenger. 

The following October, Avi Loeb, the chair of Harvard’s astronomy department, co-wrote a paper (with a Harvard postdoctoral fellow, Shmuel Bialy) that examined ‘Oumuamua’s “peculiar acceleration” and suggested that the object “may be a fully operational probe sent intentionally to Earth’s vicinity by an alien civilization.” 

Loeb has long been interested in the search for extraterrestrial life, and he recently made further headlines by suggesting that we might communicate with the civilization that sent the probe. 

“If these beings are peaceful, we could learn a lot from them,” he told Der Spiegel.



Loeb thinks we need to consider the possibility that ‘Oumuamua was sent by aliens, the dangers of unscientific speculation, and what belief in an advanced extraterrestrial civilization has in common with faith in God.



Your explanation of why ‘Oumuamua might be an interstellar probe may be hard for laypeople to understand. Why might this be the case, beyond the fact that lots of things are possible?



There is a Scientific American article I wrote where I summarized six strange facts about ‘Oumuamua. 

The first one is that we didn’t expect this object to exist in the first place. We see the solar system and we can calculate at what rate it ejected rocks during its history. And if we assume all planetary systems around other stars are doing the same thing, we can figure out what the population of interstellar objects should be. That calculation results in a lot of possibilities, but the range is much less than needed to explain the discovery of ‘Oumuamua.

There is another peculiar fact about this object. When you look at all the stars in the vicinity of the sun, they move relative to the sun, the sun moves relative to them, but only one in five hundred stars in that frame is moving as slow as ‘Oumuamua. 

You would expect that most rocks would move roughly at the speed of the star they came from. If this object came from another star, that star would have to be very special.



What are some of the other strange facts?



When it was discovered, we realized it spins every eight hours, and its brightness changed by at least a factor of ten. 

The fact that its brightness varies by a factor of ten as it spins means that it is at least ten times longer than it is wide. 

We don’t have a photo, but, in all the artists’ illustrations that you have seen on the Web, it looks like a cigar. That’s one possibility. But it’s also possible that it’s a pancake-like geometry, and, in fact, that is favored.



What would be the meaning of a pancake-like geometry—



Wait. The most unusual fact about it is that it deviates from an orbit that is shaped purely by the gravitational force of the sun. 

Usually, in the case of comets, such a deviation is caused by the evaporation of ice on the surface of the comet, creating gases that push the comet, like the rocket effect. 

That’s what comets show: a cometary tail of evaporated gas. We don’t see a cometary tail here, but, nevertheless, we see a deviation from the expected orbit. 

And that is the thing that triggered the paper. Once I realized that the object is moving differently than expected, then the question is what gives it the extra push. 

And, by the way, after our paper appeared, another paper came out with analysis that showed very tight limits on any carbon-based molecules in the vicinity of this object.



What is the significance of that?



It means that there is no evidence of gas that relates to the evaporation of ice. We don’t see the telltale signatures of cometary tail. 

Moreover, if it was cometary activity, then we would expect the spin period of this object to change, and we don’t see that. 

All of these things are indicative of the fact that it is nothing like a comet that we have seen before in the solar system. And it is also nothing like an asteroid. 

Its brightness varies by a factor of ten, and the maximum you typically observe is a factor of three. 

It has a much more extreme geometry, and there is some other force pushing it. The question is, what’s providing this force, and that was the trigger for our paper.



The only thing that came to my mind is that maybe the light from the sun, as it bounces off its surface, gives it an extra push. 

It’s just like a wind bouncing off a sail on a sailboat. So we checked that and found that you need the thickness of the object to be less than a millimetre in order for that to work. 

If it is indeed less than a millimetre thick, if it is pushed by the sunlight, then it is maybe a light sail, and I could not think of any natural process that would make a light sail. It is much more likely that it is being made by artificial means, by a technological civilization.



I should say, just as background, I do not view the possibility of a technological civilization as speculative, for two reasons. 

The first is that we exist. And the second is that at least a quarter of the stars in the Milky Way galaxy have a planet like Earth, with surface conditions that are very similar to Earth, and the chemistry of life as we know it could develop. 

If you roll the dice so many times, and there are tens of billions of stars in the Milky Way, it is quite likely we are not alone.



So this civilization would be out of the solar system and in the galaxy?



In the galaxy. It may be dead by now, because we don’t take good care of our planet. Imagine another history, in which the Nazis have a nuclear weapon and the Second World War ends differently. 

You can imagine a civilization that develops technology like that, which would lead to its own destruction.

It’s possible that the civilization is not alive anymore, but it did send out a spacecraft. We ourselves sent out Voyager I and Voyager II. There could be a lot of equipment out there. 

The point is that this is the very first object we found from outside the solar system. It is very similar to when I walk on the beach with my daughter and look at the seashells that are swept ashore. 

Every now and then we find an object of artificial origin. And this could be a message in a bottle, and we should be open-minded. So we put this sentence in the paper.



It’s different, of course, but the way you said that reminded me of an argument I have heard for creationism, which is that if you find a watch on the beach, you know it must be man-made, and, since our eyes are as complex as a watch, we must also be designed by a creator.



An advanced technological civilization is a good approximation to God. Suppose you took a cell phone and showed it to a caveperson. The caveperson would say it was a nice rock. The caveperson is used to rocks. 

So now imagine this object—‘Oumuamua—being the iPhone and us being the cave people. We look at it and say it’s a rock. It’s just an unusual rock. 

The point of this analogy is that, for a caveperson, the technologies we have today would have been magic. They would have been God-given.



Coryn Bailer-Jones, an astronomer quoted in one of the pieces on your paper, wrote, “In science we must ask ourselves, ‘Where is the evidence? Not’ ”—



Exactly! Exactly!



Hold on. “ ‘Not where is the lack of evidence so that I can fit in any hypothesis that I like?’ ” [Bailer-Jones, of the Max Planck Institute for Astronomy, in Heidelberg, Germany, has identified four possible home stars for ‘Oumuamua, and was asked to respond to Loeb’s light-sail theory by NBC.]



Well, it’s exactly the approach that I took. I approached this with a scientific mind, like I approach any other problem in astronomy or science that I work on. 

The point is that we follow the evidence, and the evidence in this particular case is that there are six peculiar facts. 

And one of these facts is that it deviated from an orbit shaped by gravity while not showing any of the telltale signs of cometary outgassing activity. So we don’t see the gas around it, we don’t see the cometary tail

It has an extreme shape that we have never seen before in either asteroids or comets. We know that we couldn’t detect any heat from it and that it’s much more shiny, by a factor of ten, than a typical asteroid or comet. All of these are facts. I am following the facts.



Last year, I wrote a paper about cosmology where there was an unusual result, which showed that perhaps the gas in the universe was much colder than we expected. 

And so we postulated that maybe dark matter has some property that makes the gas cooler. And nobody cares, nobody is worried about it, no one says it is not science. 

Everyone says that is mainstream—to consider dark matter, a substance we have never seen. That’s completely fine. It doesn’t bother anyone.



But when you mention the possibility that there could be equipment out there that is coming from another civilization—which, to my mind, is much less speculative, because we have already sent things into space—then that is regarded as unscientific. 

But we didn’t just invent this thing out of thin air. The reason we were driven to put in that sentence was because of the evidence, because of the facts. If someone else has a better explanation, they should write a paper about it rather than just saying what you said.



One of your responses to these criticisms was, “I follow the maxim of Sherlock Holmes: ‘When you have excluded the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.’ ” 

But when it comes to things we can’t explain or don’t understand, don’t we often turn to concepts that do exist in popular culture and society—



No. No! No. Let me give you a better example for the kind of argument you are making. The multiverse is a mainstream idea—that anything that can happen will happen an infinite number of times.

 And I think that is not scientific, because it cannot be tested. Whereas the next time we see an object like this one, we can contemplate taking a photograph. 

My motivation, in part, is to motivate the scientific community to collect more data on the next object rather than argue a priori that they know the answer. In the multiverse case, we have no way of testing it, and everyone is happy to say, “Ya!”



Another mainstream idea is the extra dimension. You see that in string theory, which gets a lot of good press, and awards are given to members of that community. 

Not only has it not been tested empirically for almost forty years now but there is no hope it will be tested in the next forty years. 

And yet your friend has no problem with that! Whoever you are quoting has no problem with the multiverse, with string theory. No problem!

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The specialist is monitoring data on his mission console when a voice breaks in, “a voice that carried with it a strange and unspecifiable poignancy”.
Misc.




He checks in with his flight-dynamics and conceptual- paradigm officers at Colorado Command:

“We have a deviate, Tomahawk.”

“We copy. There’s a voice.”

“We have gross oscillation here.”

“There’s some interference. I have gone redundant but I’m not sure it’s helping.”

“We are clearing an outframe to locate source.”

“Thank you, Colorado.”

“It is probably just selective noise. You are negative red on the step-function quad.”

“It was a voice,” I told them.

“We have just received an affirm on selective noise... We will correct, Tomahawk. In the meantime, advise you to stay redundant.”

The voice, in contrast to Colorado’s metallic pidgin, is a melange of repartee, laughter, and song, with a “quality of purest, sweetest sadness”.

“Somehow we are picking up signals from radio programmes of 40, 50, 60 years ago.”


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Why is the universe so uncannily, so eerily, so terribly quiet? Because in the dark forest, anything that makes a sound gets eaten.
Misc.




The alien researcher on the other side of the communication warns her that its society is utterly twisted and that she must never make contact again, lest they invade Earth:



Do not answer!

Do not answer!!

Do not answer!!!


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"The Dark Forest," which continues the story of the invasion of Earth by the ruthless and technologically superior Trisolarans, introduces Liu’s three axioms of “cosmic sociology.” @nfergus
Misc.



First, “Survival is the primary need of civilization.” 

Second, “Civilization continuously grows and expands, but the total matter in the universe remains constant.” 

Third, “chains of suspicion” and the risk of a “technological explosion” in another civilization mean that in space there can only be the law of the jungle. 

In the words of the book’s hero, Luo Ji:

The universe is a dark forest. Every civilization is an armed hunter stalking through the trees like a ghost ... trying to tread without sound ... 

The hunter has to be careful, because everywhere in the forest are stealthy hunters like him. 

If he finds other life — another hunter, an angel or a demon, a delicate infant or a tottering old man, a fairy or a demigod — 

there’s only one thing he can do: open fire and eliminate them. In this forest, hell is other people ... any life that exposes its own existence will be swiftly wiped out.

This is intergalactic Darwinism.

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This could be Kabul in 180 days. @alexplitsas
Law & Politics



The image below is of a CIA officer helping evacuees board a helicopter as the VC approached. The next day, the last helicopter carrying the US Marine Security Detachment left the U.S. Embassy in Saigon, South Vietnam on 30 April, 1975 at 8:23am.

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Mullah Omar: I am considering two promises. One is the promise of God, the other is that of Bush. The promise of Bush is that there is no place on earth where you can hide that I cannot find you. We will see which one of these two promises is fulfilled.
Law & Politics



VOA: Do you know that the US has announced a war on terrorism?

Omar: I am considering two promises. One is the promise of God, the other is that of Bush. The promise of God is that my land is vast. 

If you start a journey on God's path, you can reside anywhere on this earth and will be protected... 

The promise of Bush is that there is no place on earth where you can hide that I cannot find you. 

We will see which one of these two promises is fulfilled.

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The Secret Life of Mullah Omar Bette Dam
Law & Politics


The confusions about the Taliban movement are perhaps embodied most strikingly in a single man: Mullah Muhammad Omar. 

The group’s notorious supreme leader came to the world’s attention first for demolishing his country’s giant Buddha statues, and then for his refusal to hand over Osama bin Laden in the wake of the September 11th attacks.

Upon the fall of the Taliban government in 2001, he effectively vanished, becoming one of the most wanted men in the world, along with bin Laden. 

The U.S. placed a ten mil- lion-dollar bounty on his head, but was unable to find him.

“Mullah Omar is gone, but he is alive with us, and we are fighting in his name and in his spirit.”

The story that emerges is that the U.S., and almost everyone else, had it wrong. 

After 2001, Mullah Omar never stepped foot in Pakistan, instead opting to hide in his native land— and for eight years, lived just a few miles from a major U.S. Forward Operating Base that housed thousands of soldiers.

he remained the Taliban’s spiritual lodestar, a fact that may seem puzzling to outsiders but becomes sensible when we consider his appeal in terms of the type of ascetic, Sufi-inspired religiosity common in the southern Afghan heartlands.

This type of charisma was based not on eloquence or fiery soundbites, but rather by cultivating the perception of an otherworldly, selfless, guileless persona that seemed to many Talibs the antidote to the corrupted materialism around them. 

The contrast to the worldly Osama bin Laden could not be greater.

I’ve pieced together Mullah Omar’s life after 2001. He never lived in Pakistan. Instead, he spent the remainder of his life in a pair of small villages in the remote, mountainous province of Zabul.

“If we spoke, we spoke very softly,” Jabbar Omari said. “We put pillows and straw against the door, so nobody could hear us.” 

Once, Jabbar Omari asked Mullah Omar if he missed his family, and he simply shook his head.

He offered to bring his son Yaqub to visit, but Mullah Omar refused.

Another time, Jabbar Omari remarked to his companion, “Look at us. We cannot go anywhere.” 

Mullah Omar only replied, “It is a blessing from God that we can be here.”

There wasn’t much for Jabbar Omari to do except to prepare the meals and clean dishes. 

Mullah Omar preferred to eat and pray alone, and occasionally, even cooked for himself.

Often, the two men would only interact when washing their hands and feet in the kitchen before prayer. 

He didn’t talk much, and had stopped articulating any wishes or ambitions, Jabbar Omari said.

He only asked for his supply of henna, which he regularly used to color his graying beard, and naswar, the local tobacco that he often put behind his lower lip.

In early 2013, Mullah Omar fell ill. He started coughing and vomiting and told Jabbar Omari that he would not recover.

Jabbar Omari made shurwa soup, one of his favorite dishes, to try to re-energize him, but he could no longer eat. 

To Jabbar Omari, Mullah Omar seemed to have resigned himself to his fate. When Jabbar Omari insisted on getting a doctor, he refused.

According to Zargay, Ustaz offered to drive Mullah Omar to hospitals in Pakistan, but he declined.

On April 23, 2013, Mullah Omar passed away. 

That day, Jabbar Omari told me, the hot, dry lands of southern Afghanistan experienced something he’d never seen before: a hail storm.

I assumed it was hagiographic bluster, but later I found a U.S. army publication referring to that day: “More than 80 Task Force Falcon helicopters were damaged when a sudden unprecedented hailstorm hit Kandahar Airfield April 23, where nearly half of the brigade’s helicopters were parked.”

As far as we know, Mullah Omar never attempted to actively rally his own troops after the fall of the Taliban. 

Nor did he ever attempt to admonish the Taliban for their own crimes against civilians.

Instead, he simply removed himself from the practical world.

Ironically, this appears to have served the interests of both the Taliban and the United States.

The Taliban utilized him to unify and cohere a disjointed movement, while the U.S. policy in Afghanistan was linked ultimately to the idea that Mullah Omar and bin Laden were in league together.

In this way, Mullah Omar’s importance lay in what he represented to both sides, not in what he actually did.

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Video of #Lebanon’s state collapse in real time: Armed clashes at a gas station as fuel shortages prevail. @Joyce_Karam
Law & Politics


Expect this to get worse with State and Army losing its grip:



02-JUN-2020 ::  Fast Forward





It is about the Haves and the Have Nots. Its about the moment of Epiphany when the Have Nots appreciate the predicament in which they have been placed and identify with each other rather than a ‘’boogaloo’’ structure that has been placed upon them.

Will they have that moment of Epiphany? Well There certainly has not been a more ‘’conducive’’ moment.



I would argue that Civil unrest levels are now globally at unprecedented levels that COVID19 was a circuit breaker and that ‘’Risk’’ is now blinking amber and that there remains a remarkable complacency around this risk which Paul Virilio described thus

Paul Virilio pronounced in his book Speed and Politics

“The revolutionary contingent attains its ideal form not in the place of production, but in the street, where for a moment it stops being a cog in the technical machine and itself becomes a motor (machine of attack), in other words, a producer of speed.’’


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.@RahulGandhi was mocked for saying this. @SriniSivabalan @srinivasiyc
Law & Politics



Conclusions



What if this is a Harbinger for later in the Year? 

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10-MAY-2020 :: #COVID19 and the Spillover Moment
Misc.



―They fancied themselves free, wrote Camus, ―and no one will ever be free so long as there are pestilences.


―In this respect, our townsfolk were like everybody else, wrapped up in themselves; in other words, they were humanists: they disbelieved in pestilences.

A pestilence isn't a thing made to man's measure; therefore we tell ourselves that pestilence is a mere bogy of the mind, a bad dream that will pass away.

But it doesn't always pass away and, from one bad dream to another, it is men who pass away, and the humanists first of all, because they have taken no precautions


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Timelines of reported COVID-19 deaths per capita for major countries in the Americas, Almost 90% of all deaths in the region are presently reported in S. America. And Winter in the Southern hemisphere has just begun. @Marco_Piani
Misc.


Timelines of reported COVID-19 deaths per capita for major countries in the Americas, streamgraph of raw deaths, and percentage of total deaths. Almost 90% of all deaths in the region are presently reported in S. America. And Winter in the Southern hemisphere has just begun.

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For whom the bell tolls a poem (No man is an island) by John Donne
Misc.


No man is an island,

Entire of itself.

Each is a piece of the continent,

A part of the main.

If a clod be washed away by the sea, Europe is the less.

As well as if a promontory were.

As well as if a manor of thine own Or of thine friend's were.

Each man's death diminishes me, For I am involved in mankind. Therefore, send not to know

For whom the bell tolls,

It tolls for thee.

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We believe that these will not continue to emerge indefinitely: nothing is infinite in nature, and eventually the virus will reach its form of ‘maximum transmission’. @RobertoBurioni & @EricTopol @NatureMedicine
Misc.



Notably, the natural history of the SARS-CoV-2 virus–host interplay is now being deeply altered—an unprecedented event in a pandemic—by the prompt availability of vaccines that are not only safe but also extremely effective in eliciting a ‘superhuman’ protective immunity: 

on the one hand, vaccine-induced immunity is more potent than that elicited by the infection

On the other hand, the most-potent vaccines seem to dramatically hinder viral replication and thus transmission. 

Some evolutionary virologists believe complete or nearly complete resistance to the current vaccines is an inevitability, which is a prediction that cannot be discounted or ignored.

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The question of whether SARS-CoV2 had reached its fitness peak or not would only make sense if the adaptive landscape would be static. But is is not @TWenseleers
Misc.


The question of whether SARS-CoV2 had reached its fitness peak or not would only make sense if the adaptive landscape would be static. But is is not: the adaptive landscape will constantly change and new peaks will emerge. A 10000 dimensional search space is pretty large too...

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“No matter how the official narrative of this turns out," it seemed to Heidi
Misc.


Thomas Pynchon in Bleeding Edge “No matter how the official narrative of this turns out," it seemed to Heidi, "these are the places we should be looking, not in newspapers or television but at the margins, graffiti, uncontrolled utterances, bad dreamers who sleep in public and scream in their sleep.”

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04-JAN-2021 :: What Will Happen In 2021
Misc.




Today only the Paid for Propagandists and Virologists and WHO will argue that there is a ''zoonotic'' origin for COVID19. 

It is remarkable that the Propaganda is still being propagated more than a year later. 

Those who have chosen to propagate this narrative are above the radar and in plain sight and need to be called to account. 

The Utter Failure to call these 5th columnists to Account is the clearest Signal that there is no external threat because it is already on the inside.


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01-MAR-2020 :: The Origin of the #CoronaVirus #COVID19
Misc.



What is clear is that the #COVID19 was bio-engineered The Science [and I am not a Scientist is irrefutable and in the public domain  for those with a modicum of intellectual interest. 

This information is being deliberately suppressed.

This took me to Thomas Pynchon

“If they can get you asking the wrong questions, they don't have to worry about answers.”

“There's always more to it. This is what history consists of. It is the sum total of the things they aren't telling us.”

 Now Why are we being led away from this irrefutable Truth

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Xi has taken calculated risks. The muscular and multi-faceted nature of Chinese Power is seen in its handling of COVID19
Misc.



Controlling the COVID19 Narrative, suppressing the Enquiry, parlaying the situation into one of singular advantage marks a singular moment  

Xi Jinping has exhibited Chinese dominance over multiple theatres from the Home Front, the International Media Domain, the ‘’Scientific’’ domain over which he has achieved complete ownership and where any dissenting view is characterized as a ‘’conspiracy theory’’

It remains a remarkable achievement

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Currency Markets at a Glance WSJ
World Currencies



Euro 1.1924

Dollar Index 92.029

Japan Yen 110.87

Swiss Franc 0.9194

Pound 1.3945

Aussie 0.7543

India Rupee 74.3798

South Korea Won 1137.08

Brazil Real 4.9592

Egypt Pound 15.6399

South Africa Rand 14.2595



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The Lotos-eaters
World Currencies



"Courage!" he said, and pointed toward the land, "This mounting wave will roll us shoreward soon."

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As I write this on the 3rd of January 2021 $BTC has touched 35,000.00 in a parabolic shift higher
World Currencies



Conclusions



Markets when they retreat always fall much much further than expectations.

I recall Russian Prins falling from 60+ to 6.

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It was the second wave that killed the dip buyers the most @sunchartist
World Currencies


Crypto Dip being bought is not much different from the Asian financial crisis (central govt raising rates to protect currency)  and the pre-GFC selloff (the entire subprime was $600 bln small in the scheme of things)

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Update #COVID19 in GAUTENG, 22/06/21 @rid1tweets
Africa




• 150 deaths reported today = one of highest on record

• 5686 currently in hospital = higher than peak of 2nd wave

• Case incidence at 49 per day per 100k people = highest seen by any province at any point in pandemic


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Turning to Africa
Africa



Democracy has been shredded.


We are getting closer and closer to the Virilian Tipping Point

“The revolutionary contingent attains its ideal form not in the place of production, but in the street''


Political leadership in most cases completely gerontocratic will use violence to cling onto Power but any Early Warning System would be warning a Tsunami is coming

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10 NOV 14 : African youth demographic {many characterise this as a 'demographic dividend"} - which for Beautiful Blaise turned into a demographic terminator
Africa



Martin Aglo, a law student from Benin, told Reuters: “After the Arab Spring, this is the Black Spring”.We need to ask ourselves; how many people can incumbent shoot stone cold dead in such a situation – 100, 1,000, 10,000?

This is another point: there is a threshold beyond which the incumbent can’t go. Where that threshold lies will be discovered in the throes of the event.

The Event is no longer over the Horizon.

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My thoughts on Ethiopian polls 1/7 thread @RAbdiAnalyst
Africa





Ethiopian polls neither fair nor credible. Delayed by 10 months and twice postponed, the polls being held under conditions now worse than in August 2020.

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by Aly Khan Satchu (www.rich.co.ke)
 
 
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June 2021
 
 
 
 
 
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