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Tuesday 14th of November 2017 |
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US leader Donald Trump's repeated use of "Indo-Pacific" over "Asia-Pacific" on his Asian tour signals a new quadrilateral plan to counter China Law & Politics |
As US President Donald Trump’s wraps up his 13-day Asia tour, questions are already being asked why he repeatedly used the term “Indo-Pacific,” rather than the more conventional “Asia-Pacific”, in his public comments.
America’s leader used the term several times in Japan and South Korea, and in Vietnam said he was honored to be visiting the “heart of the Indo-Pacific.”
The answer lies in what happened shortly after Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrived in Manila on Sunday. On the sidelines of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit, senior officials from America, Japan, India and Australia met for quadrilateral talks, indication that the disbanded Quadrilateral Security Dialogue may be resurrected.
India’s External Affairs Ministry said in a statement afterwards that the four nations “agreed that a free, open, prosperous and inclusive Indo-Pacific region serves the long-term interests of all countries in the region and of the world at large.”
The “Indo-Pacific” is a pithy slogan to describe the vision of what policymakers once called the “Quadrilateral,” or “Quad”, an alliance between the four democracies designed to build a free, open and peaceful region.
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US Africa Command, or AFRICOM, has launched more strikes in 2017 than in any previous year of the air campaign Somalia Africa |
The US military continues to intensify its air campaign in Somalia against Shabaab and its rival, the Islamic State. US Africa Command, or AFRICOM, has launched more strikes in 2017 than in any previous year of the air campaign. This month, American targeting expanded to include the Islamic State.
On Nov. 11, US forces conducted an airstrike against Shabaab fighters in Gaduud, killing one, AFRICOM noted in a press release. Gaduud is located approximately 250 miles southwest of Mogadishu, Somalia’s capital. US airpower hit Shabaab forces as they were “participating in attacks on a US and Somali convoy” that was traveling in the area.
An AFRICOM spokeswoman told the Associated Press that these three attacks raise the 2017 total to 26. Five have taken place since Nov. 9. FDD’s Long War Journal has tracked 21 strikes from AFRICOM press releases, and has requested information on the five undisclosed attacks.
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Shabaab touts deadly raid on Somali military base Log War Journal Video Africa |
Shabaab, al Qaeda’s branch in Somalia, recently detailed a deadly raid on a Somali military base near the southern port town of Kismayo that took place two months ago. The assault, which took place on Sept. 2, left over 20 Somali military personnel dead, far more than Somali officials admitted to after the attack.
Shabaab detailed the attack in a video entitled “And Be Harsh Against Them.” The video, which was released today, includes dramatic footage of the nighttime assault which included a massive suicide car bombing, and Shabaab fighters entering the base, clashing with Somali soldiers, and executing survivors (note: elements of the video appear doctored; such as the muzzle flashes and some sound effects, however the video is authentic).
Shabaab’s strike on the Bala Gadud base began with its signature pattern, a large suicide car bombing to soften the perimeter before an assault team enters the fray. The video shows the pre-dawn suicide bombing before turning to the actual raid on the base. At the time, Somali officials reported that at least 10 soldiers were killed in the attack. However, Shabaab claimed to have killed 26 soldiers. The video appears to confirm the larger number; as dozens of dead Somali soldiers are shown sprawled throughout the base. Shabaab fighters shoot any who appear to be alive.
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African Economic Growth Rides on Wireless Rails @BV Africa |
In Kenya, hundreds of thousands of people are rising out of poverty as mobile-money services turn subsistence farmers into businesspeople. A similar dynamic drives Ethiopia, the fastest-growing economy in Africa, where the gross domestic product is forecast to climb 8 percent in 2019. Borrowing costs in Ghana plummeted almost 2.5 percentage points during the past 12 months amid an unprecedented gain in GDP that's been led by the growth of the telecom industry.
From the Atlantic to the Indian Ocean, hand-held phones are letting people become their own ATMs, increasing economic activity by enabling payments for food, travel, school and business. Wireless communication is driving economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa much as the railroad did in the 19th-century U.S., accounting for almost a tenth of global mobile subscribers and a growth rate that's beating the world.
The transformation is reflected in the more than 1,300 publicly-traded companies that make up corporate Africa. The value of communications firms increased during the past five years to 25 percent of the total market capitalization of African companies, up from 16 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Materials and energy, the natural-resources benchmarks that defined the region since its colonial days, diminished to a combined 18 percent from 27 percent during the same period.
Nowhere is the trend more pronounced than in Ghana, where the value of products and services produced by the information and communication sector surged 239 percent since 2012, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, by far the fastest growth of any economic sector. Such explosive growth helped Ghana improve its creditworthiness and lower the average cost of public and private borrowing to 6.7 percent from 9.1 percent during the past 12 months. The economy continued to expand at a rate of 6 percent, and economists surveyed by Bloomberg say it will grow another 6.7 percent next year, almost double its 3.5 percent rate in 2016.
Both the region and the industry are benefiting. Kenya-based Safaricom isn't the biggest of the world's telecommunications giants -- its annual sales are about 3 percent of the average of the world's 60 largest carriers. But its products and services are changing Africa, boosting its bottom line and attracting global investors. Analysts say that Safaricom's revenues will rise 10 percent next year, more than triple the average of those 60 telecommunications giants, after a sales increase of 13 percent in 2016.
The company is more profitable than most of its 60 global peers, turning $100 of revenue into $23 of net income in 2016, twice the average. While its shares have gained 104 percent since 2014 -- more than 4 times the group average -- Safaricom still trades at a 33 percent discount to its global rivals on a price-to-earnings basis, according to Bloomberg data.
Safaricom's mobile-money transfer service, M-Pesa, launched in 2007, now has more than 25 million users in Kenya, a country where 80 percent of the population lives beyond the reach of the electric grid. A 2016 study credited M-Pesa with increasing daily per capita consumption levels of about 2 percent of Kenyan households that had been subsisting on less than $1.25 per day.
The study, by Tanveet Suri, an associate professor at Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Sloan School of Management and William Jack, an economist at Georgetown University, shows that mobile-money services relieve extreme poverty by enabling men and women to produce and sell goods and services in self-designed markets beyond the boundaries of their subsistence farms. The development is especially useful for women seeking financial independence in male-headed households, according to Suri.
Sub-Saharan Africa by the end of 2016 had 420 million unique mobile subscribers, equivalent to a 43 percent penetration rate in the world's fastest-growing region, according to the London-based GSMA trade association of 800 mobile operators. Less than a fifth of individuals younger than 16 (who account for more than 40 percent of the population across the continent) have a mobile subscription, GSMA says. That's why investors anticipate escalating earnings. Mobile technologies and services generated $110 billion in sub-Saharan Africa, equivalent to 7.7 percent of GDP, and supported 3.5 million jobs last year.
Nowhere is the demography more favorable to mobile money. Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa include 420 million people, or 41 percent of sub-Saharan Africa and 6 percent of the world. The total GDP of these countries is $936 billion, or 66 percent of the region. The population younger than 15 in these five countries ranges from 28 percent to 44 percent, compared to 25 percent for the world, 19 percent for the U.S. and 17 percent for China.
Visa Inc., the world's largest payments network, said this year that it is planning to expand its mobile-phone application, mVisa, with lenders in 10 sub-Saharan markets, Bloomberg reported. At the same time, Shenzhen-based Huawei Technologies Co., said it is working with London-based WorldRemit Ltd, the money-transfer operator, to enable African expatriates to send cash home to more than 100 million users of the Chinese company's mobile-money service platform.
At a point when mobile phone penetration is 65 percent for the world, sub-Saharan Africa's 43 percent rate is why telecom investors are making the region their favorite.
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Zimbabwe Army Signals Split With Mugabe Over Firing Deputy Africa |
Zimbabwe armed forces commander Constantine Chiwenga called for an end to purges in President Robert Mugabe’s ruling party and said the security services would stop those “bent on hijacking the revolution,” signaling a split with the 93-year-old leader.
Chiwenga, speaking alongside the commanders of the army and air force, was commenting on the upheaval in the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front following Mugabe’s dismissal of Emmerson Mnangagwa, 75, as vice president a week ago and his subsequent expulsion from the ruling party. Mnangagwa, an ally of Chiwenga, fled the southern African nation on Dec. 8 because of “incessant threats” against him and his family.
“It is with humility and a heavy heart that we come before you to pronounce the indisputable reality that there is instability in Zanu-PF today and as a result anxiety in the country at large,” Chiwenga, 61, told reporters at the King George IV military barracks in the capital, Harare.
“This is a new and potentially dangerous twist to the politics of the country,” Eldred Masunungure, a professor of political science at the University of Zimbabwe, said by phone. “It’s the toxic insertion of the military and will sour relations between the military and government.”
“We remain committed to protecting our legacy and those bent on hijacking the revolution will not be allowed to do so,” Chiwenga said.
Conclusions
Now We are at The Edge.
"The Edge...There is no honest way to explain it because the only people who really know where it is are the ones who have gone over" Hiunter S. Thompson
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Think bitcoin's getting expensive? Try Zimbabwe Africa |
The result is startling. Bitcoin's BTC=BTSP global surge to a record high of $7,888 last week - a sevenfold increase since the start of the year - has been spectacular enough. But on Harare's bitcoin exchange, Golix (golix.io), the price hit $13,900, a 40-fold jump in the same period.
Warnings abound internationally that bitcoin may be a bubble waiting to burst. But the dire state of the Zimbabwean financial system under President Robert Mugabe is encouraging risk-taking.
“I have now changed all my reserves to bitcoin because that is the only way I can protect my investment,” said Arnold Manhizwa, who works for an IT and telecoms company in Harare.
Zimbabweans are therefore piling into anything they think might retain value. Prices of cars, real estate and stocks have all soared, with the Harare bourse's main industrial index .INDZI doubling in the last two months.
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At 1120 GMT the rand was at 14.5200 per dollar having tumbled as much as 1.1 percent to session-worst 14.5425, its weakest level since Nov. 18 2016. Africa |
Government bond due 2026 also weakened. Yields on the paper climbed 14.5 basis points to 9.495 percent, its highest level since May 2016.
South African 5-year credit default swaps, a measure of the cost of insuring the country’s debt, hit a four-month high, stoked by reports of power firm Eskom’s financial troubles.
Eskom said it was not insolvent but was facing serious liquidity issues.
Treasury confirmed Michael Sachs’ resignation, saying he wanted to join the civil service in a different capacity.
Fin24 said Sachs resigned over interference by Zuma at the Treasury.
“The rumour that a senior treasury official has resigned is obviously the main reason the rand moved lower,” said chief dealer at Bidvest Bank
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Airline revenue of $1.2 bn blocked across Africa -IATA Africa |
The global airline industry has $1.2 billion blocked in nine dollar-strapped African countries, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) said on Monday.
Of the total of $1.2 billion, Angola has blocked the largest amount, $500 million, while Sudan has held up $200 million, another IATA official, Adefunke Adeyemi, told Reuters.
Last year Nigeria owed airliners $600 million but as of October the amount had fallen to $221 million, she said.
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N.S.E Today |
BlackRock's Larry Fink says we're seeing 'synchronized growth' worldwide for first time since the financial crisis. A Bloomberg Barclays Index of hard-currency emerging-market bonds has fallen for six straight days, capping the biggest weekly yield jump since last year when Donald Trump’s victory spurred a selloff in risk assets. South Africa's Rand has slumped to a one year low [session-worst 14.5425, its weakest level since Nov. 18 2016], Government bonds due 2026 also weakened. Yields on the paper climbed 14.5 basis points to 9.495 percent, its highest level since May 2016. South African 5-year credit default swaps, a measure of the cost of insuring the country’s debt, hit a four-month high Eskom said it was not insolvent but was facing serious liquidity issues. Here the markets are counting down to the November 20 deadline for judgment on the petition against President Uhuru Kenyatta’s election. “Looking forward inflation is well anchored. There’s no reason for it to deviate from where it is,” Dr. Patrick Njoroge told reporters on the sidelines of a conference in Dubai. He said it was inevitable that commercial lending rate caps will be removed, but timing of the move was uncertain [Reuters] The Shilling was last at 103.64 The Nairobi All Share shaved off -0.33 points to close at 160.01 The NSE20 retreated 27.52 points to close at 3719.19 Equity turnover clocked 791.018m.
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N.S.E Equities - Commercial & Services |
Safaricom was the most actively traded share at the Securities Exchange and closed unchanged at 24.50 but was poised to turn higher, the weighted average was 24.68 and Safaricom was trading at 25.00 +2.04% at the Finish Line. Bloomberg View carried an Article captioned ''African Economic Growth Rides on Wireless Rails'' which said the following about Safaricom.
''Safaricom is more profitable than most of its 60 global peers, turning $100 of revenue into $23 of net income in 2016, twice the average. While its shares have gained 104 percent since 2014 -- more than 4 times the group average -- Safaricom still trades at a 33 percent discount to its global rivals on a price-to-earnings basis, according to Bloomberg data''
Kenya Airways confirmed yesterday that the GOK has Effective Control over 48.9% of the Ordinary Voting Shares ahead of the Earnings Release on Friday. Kenya Airways retreated -4.50% to close at 5.30.
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N.S.E Equities - Finance & Investment |
COOP Bank retreated -1.234% to close at 16.00 and 5.842m shares changed hands. COOP Bank reported Q3 2017 Profit before tax declined -9.770% to clock 13.737886b. KCB eased -0.62% to close at 39.50 but was trading at 40.00 +0.62% at the finish line. KCB traded 946,000 shares.
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N.S.E Equities - Industrial & Allied |
BAT was heavily traded at an unchanged 800.00 and 329,700 shares worth 263.76m changing hands. BAT trades on a Trailing PE Ratio of 18.895 and is the pre-eminent dividend paying stock at the Exchange.
KenGen closed unchanged at 8.40 and traded light with 79,200 shares changing hands.
ARM Cement did not receive a lift from week-end Take-over chatter and retreated -2.49% to close at 13.70. ARM remains -46.27% in 2017.
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