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Wednesday 02nd of September 2020
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Macro Thoughts
World Of Finance
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This, from @RobinBHarding of the FT
World Of Finance
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Herd of elephants in the Amboseli. Photo by Drew Doggett @kenyapics
Africa
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Political Reflections
Law & Politics
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So the president is denying something that no one has actually reported - that he had a series of mini-strokes. @maggieNYT
Law & Politics
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It never ends! Now they are trying to say that your favorite President, me, went to Walter Reed Medical Center, having suffered a series of mini-strokes.
Law & Politics
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Never happened to THIS candidate - FAKE NEWS. Perhaps they are referring to another candidate from another Party!
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There are few countries left growing at >5% per day, but the global trend is heading up nevertheless after a lull at 250k/day, with increases from lower rates in some large countries. @video4me
World Of Finance
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>25%: BVI¹⁹⁶
>5%: Myanmar¹⁶⁴ Curaçao¹⁹⁴
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27-JUL-2020 :: Drinking the Kool-Aid
World Of Finance
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COVID Deaths: We see that , and Australia had fresh peaks today (denoted by red bars) but Nepal and Australia have shown the greatest acceleration in deaths w-o-w. #CoronaVirusUpdates #coronavirus
Misc.
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This heatmap shows the trend of daily growth in confirmed cases for some major countries. #CoronaVirusUpdates #coronavirus @ExanteData
Misc.
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Hungary has the highest 3-day growth rate in the group, while Mexico has the highest hit ratio
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They fancied themselves free, wrote Camus, ―and no one will ever be free so long as there are pestilences. #COVID19
Misc.
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International Markets
World Of Finance
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Currency Markets at a Glance WSJ
World Currencies
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Euro 1.1901
Dollar Index 92.394
Japan Yen 106.03
Swiss Franc 0.91110
Pound 1.3372
Aussie 0.7356
India Rupee 72.9865
South Korea Won 1185.74
Brazil Real 5.3989
Egypt Pound 15.8441
South Africa Rand 16.668
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Dollar Index Chart INO 92.385
World Currencies
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Euro versus the Dollar 3 Month Chart 1.1903 [crossed 1.20 before reversing - i look for 1.2500]
World Currencies
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Rocket Internet to buy shares at €18.57 (56% below IPO price of €42.5 in 2014) in delisting offer. @Schuldensuehner
World Of Finance
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Rocket entered into qualified non-tender agreements w/Global Founders which holds 45.11%, w/Oliver Samwer who holds 4.53% so that Rocket shares held by them will not be acquired.
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Commodity Markets at a Glance WSJ
Commodities
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Gold 6 month INO 1967.00
Commodities
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Brent Crude Oil climbs above $46 a barrel to its highest closing level since early March
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Crude Oil 6 Month Chart INO 43.12
Minerals, Oil & Energy
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“We’re going to wake up one day & realize we went through all our savings," says a #Kuwait analyst. @PaulWallace123
Emerging Markets
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"Not because we didn’t check our bank statement, but because we looked at it & said, it’s probably a glitch, and then bought a Rolex.”
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24 FEB 14 :: Dubai is the real transit state, a connection point in an interconnected century.
Emerging Markets
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via Email
New Issue: Government of Dubai – 10Y Sukuk & 30Y Bond – IPTs
Indicative Yield: 10yrs: 3.19% area; 30yrs : 4.375% area
Deal Details:
Issuer:
Dubai DOF Sukuk Limited Government of Dubai
Obligor:
Government of Dubai -
Ratings:
Unrated Unrated
Format & Status:
Regulation S, Senior Unsecured Sukuk Regulation S, Senior Unsecured Bond
Settlement Date:
9 September 2020 9 September 2020
Tenor & Maturity Date:
10-year (9 September 2030) 30-year (9 September 2050)
Size:
US$ benchmark US$ benchmark
IPTs:
10-year at MS + 250 bps area 30-year at 4.375% area
Profit rate / Coupon:
FXD SA 30/360 FXD SA 30/360
Denominations:
US$ 200,000 + US$ 1,000 US$ 200,000 + US$ 1,000
Listing:
Dubai Financial Market Dubai Financial Market
Governing Law:
English and Dubai/UAE English
Documentation:
Dubai DOF Sukuk Limited US$ 6bn Trust Certificate Issuance Programme Government of Dubai US$ 5bn EMTN Programme
Issuer LEI:
549300FL2U4Z16IJI576 549300IY6A4IPIRLLX57
Joint Lead Managers & Bookrunners:
Dubai Islamic Bank, Emirates NBD Capital, First Abu Dhabi Bank, HSBC (B&D) and Standard Chartered Bank Emirates NBD Capital, First Abu Dhabi Bank, HSBC (B&D) and Standard Chartered Bank
Timing Book’s open:
. Today’s business Book’s open. Today’s business
Stabilization:
FCA/ICMA applies FCA/ICMA applies
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#COVID19 update in Africa 1 September 2020 as of 9AM EAT. Total cases.1, 252, 552 Total deaths. 29, 833 & Recoveries 985, 803 @AfricaCDC
Africa
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We Know that the #Coronavirus is exponential, non linear and multiplicative.
Misc.
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#Africa still accounts for just less than 5% of the world’s #COVID19 cases. @DevReimagined
Africa
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Sub-Saharan Africa (pop. 1 billion) has done fewer tests than the state of New York (pop. 20 million) @JoeWSJ
Africa
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Africa is playing ''Whack a Mole'' with a blindfold on
Africa
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The rest of the world took 3 days to progress from 1 million to 1.25 million cases – Africa as a whole has made the same progression over 25 days. @DevReimagined
Africa
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We are not there yet. The exponential moment is still in front of us. #COVID19
Africa
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Huge differences across the continent, and there are still outliers in each region where #COVID19 still appears to be spreading, despite #socialdistancing and #facemasks. @DevReimagined
Africa
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Alpha Condé candidat à un troisième mandat : retour sur un scénario annoncé @jeune_afrique
Africa
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How Putin Got a New Best Friend Forever in Africa @business
Law & Politics
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“I would like, if possible, to spend most of our meeting in a one-in-one format because I have things to say to you that are not worth discussing in such a large group,” the 81-year-old West African leader said.
“My pleasure,” Putin, 67, replied as aides began to herd the several dozen officials and reporters in attendance out of the room, leaving him and Conde alone with their respective translators.
Russia, on the other hand, is throwing its weight behind Conde’s undeclared campaign. That makes Guinea, holder of the world’s largest deposits of bauxite, a key raw material for making aluminum, the latest focus in a renewed tug-of-war among global powers for influence and profit across resource-rich Africa.
Boyarkin blames the protests mainly on “outside forces” and has nothing but praise for Conde. “I consider him a savior for Guinea.”
“Since the days of the Soviet Union, you have been alongside us, protecting us,” he told Putin.
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28-OCT-2019 :: From Russia with Love
Africa
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But, he said, Russia was going to be a different kind of superpower, one that does not engage in “pressure, in- timidation and blackmail” to “exploit” sovereign African governments.
“Our African agenda is positive and future-oriented. We do not ally with someone against someone else, and we strongly oppose any geopolitical games involving Africa.”
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#Mali President Ibrahim Boubacar Keita ousted in a military coup last month reported to have been hospitalised at a private clinic in the capital Bamako @DrumChronicles
Africa
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Sub-Saharan Africa's COVID-induced slump may last 3 years -Ghana FinMin @ReutersAfrica
Africa
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The economic slump in sub-Saharan Africa caused by the coronavirus outbreak could last well over three years, Ghana’s finance minister said on Tuesday.
Much of the region has been spared the infection and death rates that have hit other parts of the world, data suggests, but its economies have been battered by the pandemic and restrictions imposed by governments to contain it.
“We are in the middle of the first recession in sub-Saharan Africa in the last 25 years,” said Ghana’s Finance Minister Ken Ofori-Atta.
The slump may last well over three years and could push between 26 and 39 million people continent-wide into extreme poverty.
“Many of our economies are facing economic contractions of up to 15% of gross domestic product and severe liquidity challenges,” he added.
Ofori-Atta, who also serves as chairman of the African Development Bank’s (AfDB) board of governors, was speaking during the swearing-in of AfDB President Akinwumi Adesina to a second five-year term.
The AfDB said in July it expected Africa’s economy to partially rebound next year but that it could still lose nearly a quarter of a trillion dollars in output over 2020 and 2021.
African countries have recorded nearly 1.25 million COVID-19 infections and almost 30,000 deaths.
Their relatively low caseloads have been attributed to their relative isolation, early preventive measures taken by authorities and limited testing that suggests the true figures are higher.
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02-MAR-2020 :: The #COVID19 and SSA and the R Word
Africa
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02-MAR-2020 :: Balance Sheets Are Maxed Out
Africa
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China has said it has agreed to suspend #debt payments for 10 poor countries, IF (a big IF) these 20 countries were the #African countries that negotiated with Paris lenders, it would save approx. $2.9bn @DevReimagined
Africa
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China has said it has agreed to suspend #debt payments for 10 poor countries, and is still negotiating with 10 more. IF (a big IF) these 20 countries were the #African countries that negotiated with Paris lenders, it would save approx. $2.9bn
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19-APR-2020 :: China Africa Win Win
Africa
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5 March 2020 Debt, virus and locusts create a perfect storm for Africa @TheAfricaReport
Africa
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December 9, 2019 Time to Big Up the Dosage of Quaaludes
Africa
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South Africa All Share Bloomberg
Africa
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Dollar versus Rand 6 Month Chart INO 16.69
World Currencies
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Egypt Pound versus The Dollar 3 Month Chart INO 15.8451
Africa
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Ghana Stock Exchange Composite Index Bloomberg
Africa
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Kenya in Talks With World Bank for Budget-Support Loan @economics @herbling
Africa
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Kenya is in talks with the World Bank for a loan to provide further budget support, according to Treasury Secretary Ukur Yatani.
The East African nation’s government and the lender are “still discussing policy areas” to be covered by the financing and are yet to agree on the amount, Yatani said.
The loan “doesn’t look likely for this financial year,” he said Tuesday in a text message.
The World Bank in May approved $1 billion in budget support for Kenya, which followed a $750 million package approved in 2019.
The government will spend the money on subsidized agricultural inputs, affordable housing and improving transparency in public financial management, the lender said at the time.
This will be the third time Kenya takes up a so-called development policy operation loan from the World Bank.
It is a tool used to provide financing to help countries plug budget deficits and signals the nation’s shift to seek cheaper concessional funding as it faces debt distress concerns.
The International Monetary Fund in May raised Kenya’s risk of debt distress to high from moderate, citing coronavirus shocks.
The budget gap of East Africa’s biggest economy is seen at 840.6 billion shillings ($7.8 billion) in the current fiscal year, or 7.5% of gross domestic product, and will be partly financed via net foreign borrowing of 347 billion shillings, Yatani said in his June budget speech. Kenya also plans to borrow 493.4 billion shillings domestically.
Kenya has no plans to issue commercial debt such as Eurobonds or syndicated loans to finance the budget in the current financial year that ends June 2021, Yatani said on Tuesday.
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Kenya Shilling versus The Dollar Live ForexPros 108.30
World Currencies
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Nairobi All Share Bloomberg
N.S.E General
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Nairobi ^NSE20 Bloomberg
N.S.E General
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Every Listed Share Can Be Interrogated Here
N.S.E General
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